A political science professor expressed his belief that the United States could be ruled by a right-wing dictatorship in less than 10 years.
Thomas Homer-Dixon, executive director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in Canada, has suggested that American democracy could “collapse” as early as 2025, despite the efforts of current President Joe Biden to defend the system and be under one. dictatorship by 2030..
This collapse could lead to “extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence,” according to Homer-Dixon, who noted that leading US academics “are now actively grappling with the prospect of a fatal weakening of democracy. American ”.
In an opinion piece written for The Globe and Mail, Homer-Dixon describes the United States as “a political and social landscape filled with warning signs” and wonders how Canada should “prepare” as the country becomes “more and more ungovernable.”
He goes on to explain how “America’s economic, racial and social disparities have contributed to an ideological polarization between the political right and left,” asserts that “the moderate political center is rapidly disappearing” and notes that the population is ” army to the teeth “.
The future foretold by Homer-Dixon includes the return of Donald Trump to the White House in 2024 – a scenario that may prove unthinkable to many, but which could become a reality due to state legislatures’ refusal at the hands of the Republicans to accept a Democratic victory.
The professor writes: “Once in post, [Trump] will have only two objectives: justification and revenge. A US civilian-military expert and senior federal official I consulted noted that a re-elected President Trump could be completely free, nationally and internationally.
Homer-Dixon warns Canada that “a terrible storm is coming from the south” and urges the country to “focus on the urgent problem of what to do in the face of the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States”.
We must begin by fully recognizing the extent of the danger. If Mr. Trump is re-elected, even under the most optimistic scenarios, the economic and political risks to our country will be endless. Driven by an aggressive and reactive nationalism, Mr. Trump “could isolate Canada on the continental level”, as one of my interlocutors put it euphemistically.
In the less optimistic scenarios, the risks to our country in their cumulative effect could easily be existential, much greater than anything in the history of our federation.
With these predictions in mind, Homer-Dixon suggested that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should “immediately convene a standing, non-partisan parliamentary committee with representatives from the five incumbent parties.”
The committee should “receive regular intelligence analyzes and briefings from Canadian experts on political and social developments in the United States and their implications for democratic failure” and be responsible for providing advice to the government on the issue. way to react to such a failure.